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Yoram Ettinger
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Yoram Ettinger
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Palestinian Emigration/Births Defy Israel’s Demographic Fatalism

1.  The notion that Jews are doomed to become a minority between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean has been based on grossly erroneous assumptions, including a projected heavy net-Arab immigration, an over-projected Arab fertility rate and an underprojected Jewish fertility rate. A 67% robust Jewish majority over 98.5% of the land west of the Jordan River (without Gaza) is a long-term documented phenomenon, benefiting from a demographic momentum.

 

2.  According to Israel’s largest daily, “Yedioth Achronot” (April 8, 2007), and largely based on findings by the American-Israel Demographic Research Group:

 

* 38% of Palestinians wish to emigrate, according to a February 2007 survey conducted by A-Najah University in Nablus and a survey conducted by Nabil Kukali’s research center in Beit Sakhur.  A September 2006 study, by Bir Zeit University, indicated that 44% of the 20-30 age group, and 32% of the total Palestinian population, want to emigrate.

 

*45,000 emigration requests were submitted to foreign Consulates during the second half of 2006.

 

* Yoram Ettinger, of AIDRG: until 2000 most emigrants were Christians, but since then most have been Moslems, bureaucrats, intellectuals and businessmen.  Palestinian net-emigration has been a regional phenomenon since 1950.

 

* Palestinian annual average net-emigration has exceeded 10,000, reaching 16,000 in 2005, and a higher level in 2006, as a result of the January 2006 Hamas ascension to power.  Emigration has increased substantially, while the PA has become the highest recipient of foreign aid per capita.

 

* Palestinian emigration increased during the oil price boom of the 1970s and declined during the oil price slump of the 1980s.  The expulsion of 300,000 Palestinians from Kuwait, and the Oslo Accord, produced a rare brief net-immigration, but substantially lower than assumed (about 25,000 each). Unprecedented Palestinian terrorism – since Oslo and especially since 2000 – triggered higher net-emigration.  The Norwegian institute for social research, FAFO, contended that net-emigration amounted to 100,000 during September 2000 and November 2002 [much higher than documented by AIDRG].

 

* 105,000 Palestinians received Israeli ID cards (through marriage) during 1997-2003, 150,000 since 1993 and over 250,000 since 1967.

 

3.  According to Israel’s daily, Ha’aretz (April 12, 2007):

 

*The Jewish-Arab fertility gap has been reduced to one-child [down from a 6 children gap in the 1960s]!

 

*The 2006 “Green Line” Arab fertility rate is 3.6 children per woman (trending downward), compared with a 2.7 Jewish fertility rate (trending upward).




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The post-1967 turning point of US-Israel cooperation

Israeli benefits to the US taxpayer exceed US foreign aid to Israel

Iran - A Clear And Present Danger To The USA

Exposing the myth of the Arab demographic time bomb

The Phantom of the Palestinian Refugees Exposed

*General Alexander Galloway, UNRWA Jordan Office Director (April 1952 briefing to the American Christian Palestine Committee):The Arab states do not want to solve the refugee problem. They want to keep it as an open sore, as an affront to the UN and as a weapon against Israel. Arab leaders don’t give a damn whether the refugees live or die.” (Asaf Romirowsky, Middle Eastern Studies, September 2010).

 

*Dr. Benny Morris (Irish Times, Feb. 21, 2008): “…In defiance of the will of the international community, as embodied in the UN General Assembly Resolution 181 of November 29th, 1947, [the Palestinians] launched hostilities against the Jewish community in Palestine in the hope of aborting the emergence of the Jewish state and perhaps destroying that community. But they lost…”

 

*15 million Hindus, Sikhs and Muslims were displace in 1947 in order to create Pakistan. No right of return…

 

*300,000 Palestinians were expelled from Kuwait, in 1991, in response to Abu Mazen’s PLO collaboration with Saddam Hussein’s 1990 invasion of Kuwait. No Arab or international uproar…

 

*Scores of thousands of Palestinians were expelled from Jordan and killed – in 1970 – in response to Abu Mazen’s PLO attempt to topple the Hashemite regime.

 

*The UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) employs 6,300 persons, resettling gradually 27MN refugees. UNRWA – the largest UN agency – employs 29,000 Palestinians, perpetuating Palestinians’ refugee-status.

 

*The phantom of the Palestinian refugees – just like Abu Mazen’s hate education – constitute the most authentic reflection of the Palestinian Vision, aiming to de-legitimize and de-humanize the Jewish State.

 

*The root cause of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is the existence – and not the size – of the Jewish State.

 

Please read the following Summer 2010 articleThe Nakba Obsession – by Sol Stern, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and a contributing editor to the City Journal quarterly:

 

http://www.city-journal.org/2010/20_3_nakba.html




Videos

The post-1967 turning point of US-Israel cooperation

Israeli benefits to the US taxpayer exceed US foreign aid to Israel

Iran - A Clear And Present Danger To The USA

Exposing the myth of the Arab demographic time bomb