Israel’s Jewish Demographic Momentum

A few examples of Israel’s Jewish demographic momentum

In 2020, the number of Israel’s Jewish births was 134,866 – 68% higher than 1995 (80,400). In 2020, the number of Israel’s Arab births was 42,435 – 16% higher than 1995.

In 2020, Jewish births were 76% of total births, compared with 69% in 1995.

The surge of Jewish births has taken place due to the unprecedented rise of births in the secular sector, simultaneously with a rising level of education, income and wedding age. Israel’s ultra-orthodox sector has experienced a mild decrease of fertility.

In 1969, Israel’s Arab fertility rate (number of births per woman) was six births higher than the Jewish fertility rate. In 2019, Jewish fertility rate was 3.09 (3.27 when the husband was Israeli-born), compared to 2.98 for Israeli Arabs and 3.02 for Judea and Samaria (West Bank) Arabs.

The Westernization of fertility rate has characterized all Muslim countries, other than the sub-Sahara region: Jordan – 3 births per woman, Iran – 1.93, Saudi Arabia – 1.95, Morocco – 2.29, , Iraq – 3.32, Egypt – 3.23, Yemen – 3.1, United Arab Emirates – 1.65, etc.

The unique growth of Israel’s Jewish fertility rate reflects optimism, patriotism, attachment to roots, communal solidarity, frontier mentality and a declining number of abortions.

The Westernization of Arab demography is attributed to sweeping urbanization, enhanced participation of women in education and employment, rising wedding age, shorter reproductive period and expanded use of contraceptives.

More information in my recent article: https://bit.ly/3mMyTZ8

Official Palestinian demographic numbers are highly-inflated, as documented by a study, which has audited the Palestinian data since 2004:

*500,000 overseas residents, who have been away for over a year, are included in the Palestinian census, contrary to international regulations. 325,000 were included in the 1997 census, according to the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, and 400,000 in 2005, according to the Palestinian Election Commission. The number grows steadily due to births.

*350,000 East Jerusalem Arabs are doubly-counted – by Israel and by the Palestinian Authority. The number grows daily due to births.

*Over 150,000 Arabs, who married Israeli Arabs are similarly doubly-counted. The number expands daily due to births.

*A 390,000 Arab net-emigration from Judea & Samaria is excluded from the Palestinian census, notwithstanding the annual net-emigration since 1950. For example, 15,466 in 2022, 26,357 – 2019, 15,173 – 2017 and 24,244 – 2014, as documented by Israel’s Population and Migration Authority (exists and entries) in all the land, air and sea international passages.

*A 32% artificial inflation of Palestinian births was documented by the World Bank (page 8, item 6) in a 2006 audit.

*The Judea & Samaria Arab fertility rate has been westernized: from 9 births per woman in the 1960s to 3.02 births in 2021, as documented by the CIA World Factbook. It reflects the sweeping urbanization, growing enrollment of women in higher education, rising marriage age and the use of contraceptives.

*The number of Arab deaths in Judea & Samaria has been under-reported – since the days of the British Mandate) for political and financial reasons.

*The aforementioned data documents 1.4 million Arabs in Judea and Samaria, when deducting the aforementioned documented-data from the official Palestinian number (3 million).

In 2023: a 69% Jewish majority in the combined area of Judea, Samaria and pre-1967 Israel. In 1947 and 1897: a 39% and 9% Jewish minority. In 2023, a 69% Jewish majority benefiting from fertility tailwind and net-immigration. Arab fertility is Westernized, and Arab net-emigration from Judea and Samaria. No Arab demographic time bomb. A Jewish demographic momentum.

More data in this article and this short video.
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