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Demography & Israel’s National Security

1.  Critical policy decisions (“Road Map”, “Two State Solution”, “Disengagement”, “Convergence”) are based on grossly erroneous demographic assumptions, which have led to demographic fatalism and demographobia (illogical fear of Palestinian demography).

 

2.  No demographic machete hovers over Israel‘s throatIsrael‘s demographic problem is not lethal. It has been mitigated over the last 100 years: 8% Jewish minority between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean in 1900 (birth of modern Zionism); 33% Jewish minority in 1947; A 60% Jewish majority west of the Jordan River including Gaza, and a 67% Jewish majority excluding Gaza in 2006.

 

3.  Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (PCBS) numbers for Judea & Samaria are inflated by 70% (including E. Jerusalem).  They are inflated by 50% for Gaza and J&S, as documented by www.aidrg.com.  Some 400,000 overseas non-de-facto residents are included in the PCBS’ numbers, over 200,000 E. Jerusalem Arabs are double-counted as West Bankers (by the PCBS) and as Israeli Arabs (by Israel), over 100,000 Palestinian legal migrants into Israel are similarly doubly-counted, some 300,000 Palestinian babies included in the numbers have never been born (per documentation of the PA Ministry of Health), over 300,000 Palestinians should be deducted on account of unrealized migration (net 50,000 projected annually since 2001) and realized emigration (over net 10,000 annually since 1950), etc.

 

4.  The demographic momentum is Jewish and not Arab, as evidenced by the stagnated number of annual Arab births – within Israel’s Green Line – (36,500 in 1995 and 37,000 in 2006), while the number of Jewish births have increased from 80,400 to 107,000 during the same period. In 1995 Jewish births accounted to 69% of total Israeli births.  In 2006 – estimated at 75%!

 

As construed from – and independent of – the aforementioned AIDRG-based information, which was published by the Begin-SadatCenter for Strategic Studies http://www.biu.ac.il/SOC/besa/MSPS65.pdf:

 

INo retreat from Jewish geography (Judea & Samaria) is required, in order to secure Jewish demography. 

 

II.  A retreat from Jewish geography would wreck Jewish demography. It would facilitate a massive Palestinian immigration to J&S and (due to economic pressures in J&S) to Israel‘s “Green Line”.  Migration, more than births, has shaped the demographic balance between Jews and Arabs west of the Jordan River. On one hand, a huge Arab immigration from Egypt, Lebanon, Syria, Sudan and other Moslem countries occurred during 1830-1947, and on the other hand an annual Jewish Aliya has persisted since 1882.

 

III.  Israel does not face a lethal demographic problem. It faces a lethal security problem.  A retreat from geography (the 2000ft-3,000ft high mountain ridges of Judea & Samaria – the “Golan Heights” of Jerusalem and Tel Aviv) would ease a non-lethal demographic problem, but would exacerbate the lethal security problem of the 9-15 mile sliver along the Mediterranean (terrorism, conventional military and water – 40% of Israel’s water consumption comes from J&S). A retreat would cut off the Jewish State from its roots – its Cradle of History.

 

IV.  Geography and topography (the essence of security) supersede demography. The Jewish State cannot manage the height of the indispensable J&S mountain ridges, but is can manage demography through social, educational, infrastructure, economic and Aliya policies.

 

V.  The Jewish State has reached a demographic critical mass – between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean – which is solid and durable, benefiting from a robust demographic momentum.

 

 

 




Videos

The post-1967 turning point of US-Israel cooperation

Israeli benefits to the US taxpayer exceed US foreign aid to Israel

Iran - A Clear And Present Danger To The USA

Exposing the myth of the Arab demographic time bomb

The Phantom of the Palestinian Refugees Exposed

*General Alexander Galloway, UNRWA Jordan Office Director (April 1952 briefing to the American Christian Palestine Committee):The Arab states do not want to solve the refugee problem. They want to keep it as an open sore, as an affront to the UN and as a weapon against Israel. Arab leaders don’t give a damn whether the refugees live or die.” (Asaf Romirowsky, Middle Eastern Studies, September 2010).

 

*Dr. Benny Morris (Irish Times, Feb. 21, 2008): “…In defiance of the will of the international community, as embodied in the UN General Assembly Resolution 181 of November 29th, 1947, [the Palestinians] launched hostilities against the Jewish community in Palestine in the hope of aborting the emergence of the Jewish state and perhaps destroying that community. But they lost…”

 

*15 million Hindus, Sikhs and Muslims were displace in 1947 in order to create Pakistan. No right of return…

 

*300,000 Palestinians were expelled from Kuwait, in 1991, in response to Abu Mazen’s PLO collaboration with Saddam Hussein’s 1990 invasion of Kuwait. No Arab or international uproar…

 

*Scores of thousands of Palestinians were expelled from Jordan and killed – in 1970 – in response to Abu Mazen’s PLO attempt to topple the Hashemite regime.

 

*The UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) employs 6,300 persons, resettling gradually 27MN refugees. UNRWA – the largest UN agency – employs 29,000 Palestinians, perpetuating Palestinians’ refugee-status.

 

*The phantom of the Palestinian refugees – just like Abu Mazen’s hate education – constitute the most authentic reflection of the Palestinian Vision, aiming to de-legitimize and de-humanize the Jewish State.

 

*The root cause of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is the existence – and not the size – of the Jewish State.

 

Please read the following Summer 2010 articleThe Nakba Obsession – by Sol Stern, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and a contributing editor to the City Journal quarterly:

 

http://www.city-journal.org/2010/20_3_nakba.html




Videos

The post-1967 turning point of US-Israel cooperation

Israeli benefits to the US taxpayer exceed US foreign aid to Israel

Iran - A Clear And Present Danger To The USA

Exposing the myth of the Arab demographic time bomb